Difference between revisions of "2024 SSMO Tiebreaker Round Problems/Problem 2"
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==Solution== | ==Solution== | ||
+ | Firstly, the expected number of shots Bob makes is <math>\left(\frac{35}{100}\right)\cdot 97.</math> Now, the number of shots Bob is most likely to make is the largest integer <math>a</math> such that | ||
+ | \begin{align*} | ||
+ | \left(\frac{35}{100}\right)^a\left(\frac{65}{100}\right)^{97-a}\binom{97}{a}&\geq\left(\frac{35}{100}\right)^{a-1}\left(\frac{65}{100}\right)^{98-a}\binom{97}{a-1}\implies\\ | ||
+ | 35(98-a)&\geq65(a)\implies\\ | ||
+ | 3430&\geq100a\implies\\ | ||
+ | 34&\geq a. | ||
+ | \end{align*} | ||
+ | So, Bob is most likely to make <math>34</math> shots. Therefore, the answer is <cmath>\left|3\left(\frac{35\cdot97}{100}-34\right)\right| = \frac{3}{20}\implies20+3 = \boxed{23}.</cmath> | ||
+ | |||
+ | ~SMO_Team |
Latest revision as of 14:48, 10 September 2025
Problem
Bob is attempting to shoot a 3-point throw. Bob attempts the basket 97 times. Each time, Bob has a chance of making the shot. If
denotes the expected number of points Bob will make and
the number of points Bob is most likely to make, then
for relatively prime positive integers
and
Find
Solution
Firstly, the expected number of shots Bob makes is Now, the number of shots Bob is most likely to make is the largest integer
such that
\begin{align*}
\left(\frac{35}{100}\right)^a\left(\frac{65}{100}\right)^{97-a}\binom{97}{a}&\geq\left(\frac{35}{100}\right)^{a-1}\left(\frac{65}{100}\right)^{98-a}\binom{97}{a-1}\implies\\
35(98-a)&\geq65(a)\implies\\
3430&\geq100a\implies\\
34&\geq a.
\end{align*}
So, Bob is most likely to make
shots. Therefore, the answer is
~SMO_Team